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2015-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.8% 28.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +21 (67-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Criswell * 35 3-11 0-2 2-4 11 3 2 0 5 8 8 -
A. West * 33 3-11 0-0 3-4 18 1 0 4 3 9 18 -
E. Cooper Jr. * 33 3-8 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 10 3 -
D.J. Fenner * 29 3-10 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 6 8 -4 -
R. Missa * 17 0-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Coleman 24 2-7 1-1 4-6 0 1 3 0 1 9 5 -
L. Stivrins 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Rodriguez 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
E. Foster 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Conroy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Papafloratos 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin 28 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 5 2 0 0 5 6 -
P. McCaw * 34 2-8 1-7 0-0 3 3 4 0 3 5 4 -
G. Okonoboh * 34 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 4 1 4 7 -
C. Wood * 31 9-13 0-1 10-13 7 2 1 3 0 28 28 -
J. Kendrick * 29 2-9 1-3 3-6 6 4 0 0 2 8 7 -
J. Cornish 27 4-7 3-6 2-2 3 2 1 1 0 13 13 -
D. Morgan 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
C. Rushman 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Cheaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter