Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lyons * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Zach Kocur * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Hayden Graham * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Max Yon * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Marek Olesinski * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Matt Mooney | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Zach Moer | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Greenwood * | 39 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Devon Williams * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tim Jacobs * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sam Logwood * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Obij Aget * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Arthur Edwards | 19 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Adams | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joe Furstinger | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J.J. N'Ganga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter