Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✗ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lyons * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Z. Kocur * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| H. Graham * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Yon * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Olesinski * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Mooney | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Earls | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. Moer | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Greenwood * | 39 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Williams * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jacobs * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Logwood * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| O. Aget * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Edwards | 19 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| X. Adams | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Furstinger | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. N'Ganga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter