Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +12 (93-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Simmons * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Williams * | 32 | 6-15 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| DeAngelo Priar * | 26 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Latrell Love * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Charles Bargman * | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Vacha Vaughn | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rakwan Kelly | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jurmelle Hall | 14 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ben Milshtein | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Billy Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dwain Whitfield | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Lewis | 24 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 28 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Strong * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Steve Rogers | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Graham | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luther Page | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Billy Ingram | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chidozie Omile | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Armstrong | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darius Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jacob | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamar Pope | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter