Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Elliott | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Landon Drew * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Parks | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Taelin Webb | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Johnson * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darius Graham * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Corey Hawkins * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 26 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Les | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Josh Fox | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Neal Monson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brynton Lemar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter