Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Michael | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Svihovec * | 33 | 4-17 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Lee * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Verhagen * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Spence * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Huskisson | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Wilson | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McDavis | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Mathis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yanku * | 37 | 4-16 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Dixon * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Q. Upshur * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Springs * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Martin * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Kaluna | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| G. Bewernick | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Reynolds | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter