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2015-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Northeastern Huskies UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Margin 57.7% 42.3% -1.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northeastern Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Walker * 40 4-11 3-6 0-0 8 5 2 0 1 11 14 -
Quincy Ford * 29 3-10 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 1 3 8 4 -
Zach Stahl * 26 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 3 4 -
T.J. Williams * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Reggie Spencer 23 4-6 0-0 3-3 3 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
Devon Begley 20 4-4 2-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
Caleb Donnelly 11 3-4 2-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 11 10 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Craig Ponder * 39 6-13 3-5 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 17 10 -
Freddie Jackson * 39 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 2 1 6 6 1 -
Addison Spruill * 32 5-12 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 0 2 12 4 -
Jordon Talley * 31 7-9 1-2 3-3 1 4 0 0 0 18 14 -
Cedrick Williams * 30 2-5 0-0 4-5 7 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
Dylan Sherwood 18 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
Chuck Ogbodo 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 5 -

* = starter