Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -6 (68-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.C. Ross-Miller * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| K.T. Harrell * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Lang * | 26 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Cinmeon Bowers * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jordon Granger * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex Thompson | 23 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Mason | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Devin Waddell | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Malcolm Canada | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.J. Ready * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 28 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Roquez Johnson * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Travis Daniels * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Oliver Black | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Fallou Ndoye | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Demetrius Houston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter