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2015-03-08

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 โœ— (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—

Actual: Colgate Raiders -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jesse Reed * 40 5-12 2-2 2-2 4 2 3 1 0 14 12 -
John Schoof * 40 6-8 4-5 1-2 6 3 1 2 1 17 20 -
P. Gardner * 40 6-8 1-1 2-4 0 4 3 0 2 15 12 -
Marko Vasic * 35 5-7 0-1 3-5 3 4 1 1 2 13 13 -
Charlie Jones * 33 4-7 0-3 6-9 5 1 0 0 1 14 12 -
Jalen Rhea 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damon Sherman-Newsome * 38 6-16 1-10 3-7 3 1 0 0 3 16 1 -
Matt McMullen * 37 5-9 2-5 0-0 7 4 2 1 2 12 15 -
Luke Roh * 37 5-8 0-0 3-4 14 2 1 1 2 13 21 -
Ethan Jacobs * 21 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Alex Ramon 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Pat Moore 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
John Fenton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter