Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -20 (51-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryn Forbes * | 31 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 28 | 2-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Clark II | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javon Bess | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mack * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Etou * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Jack * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| B. Daniels * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| G. Lewis * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kone | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Foreman | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Doorson | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Okoro | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Zurich | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter