Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dabovic | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Hamson | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Lavender | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Toliver | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -7 | - |
| F. Abdi | 23 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Bradford | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Snow | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Currie | 25 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| M. Xargay | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bass | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. George | 10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter