Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zellous | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Coleman | 31 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Johnson | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Kizer | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| N. Howard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Lucas | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Larkins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| T. Hayes | 34 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -4 | - |
| D. Dantas | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 22 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Gray | 9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Carter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter