Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bone | 28 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Faris | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 17 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Greene | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 36 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| T. Wright | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Cash | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Swords | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| E. Carson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter