Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.7% | 25.3% | -6.0 | ✓ (24.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -30 (52-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Marta Xargay * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cayla George | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Alex Harden | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Colson * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Samantha Logic | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter