Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +30 (81-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bone | 30 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 28 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Faris | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 26 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Gray | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Greene | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Clarendon | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Lucas | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Catchings | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| N. Howard | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Coleman | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Zellous | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Larkins | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter