Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 38 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 13 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 35 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 26 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Carter | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 42 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 36 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 34 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Wright | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 27 | 6-18 | 5-12 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Swords | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Carson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter