Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | 32 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| L. Kizer | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Zellous | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Coleman | 23 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Larkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Lucas | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 33 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 15 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 33 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 23 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Hooper | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| V. Baugh | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Paris | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter