Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -14 (66-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epiphanny Prince | 31 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tina Charles | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| S. Cash | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Wright | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Swords | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bone | 33 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Lacy | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Faris | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Greene | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter