Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -6 (84-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 35 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 14-15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 25 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Carter | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 18 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| R. Gray | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Dantas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 10 | - |
| T. Catchings | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 11-11 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 23 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Larkins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Lucas | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. January | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Howard | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter