Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Quinn | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 25 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Xargay | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Currie | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cayla George | 13 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Harden | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 9-9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Dolson | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. Sanders | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Hartley | 11 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Malott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter