Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 20 | - |
| B. Griner | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 27 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| C. Dupree | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Currie | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| N. Quinn | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Xargay | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. George | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bone | 32 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 32 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| K. Faris | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Gray | 15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Greene | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter