Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Faris | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 27 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 26 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 21 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Greene | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 28 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Carter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter