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2015-08-25

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Faris 34 1-6 0-2 3-4 2 2 0 1 1 5 3 -
S. Stricklen 27 5-11 4-10 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 14 7 -
C. Gray 26 4-10 2-4 2-2 6 4 0 0 3 12 9 -
C. Little 26 1-7 0-3 1-1 1 1 2 1 2 3 -1 -
J. Lacy 21 3-9 0-4 2-3 5 0 0 1 2 8 3 -
K. Bone 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
J. Thomas 20 2-8 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 5 2 -
K. Pedersen 16 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
N. Greene 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 0 2 6 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayes 35 3-8 1-2 0-0 9 5 2 1 1 7 15 -
A. McCoughtry 28 3-12 1-3 4-4 5 2 0 1 1 11 6 -
S. Schimmel 26 5-7 4-6 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 15 13 -
S. Lyttle 25 6-11 0-0 5-6 7 2 1 0 1 17 15 -
M. Ajavon 24 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 5 1 0 2 1 4 -
D. Dantas 22 4-9 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
A. Henry-Morello 17 3-8 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
R. Gray 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
S. Carter 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Milton-Jones 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter