Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -10 (92-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 34 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 32 | 13-20 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 19 | - |
| D. Dantas | 25 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 19 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Gray | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Carter | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 32 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| C. Little | 31 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Lacy | 31 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 29 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Bone | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Greene | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Gray | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter