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2015-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lavender 39 7-10 0-0 1-1 11 3 0 1 2 15 18 -
C. Parker 37 12-23 0-4 2-3 10 3 2 1 3 26 16 -
K. Toliver 32 6-10 1-3 4-5 1 3 1 0 0 17 12 -
A. Dabovic 30 5-13 2-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 12 2 -
M. Tolo 24 1-2 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
A. Beard 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Johnson 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Bradford 9 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Hamson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bonner 37 5-15 1-4 2-5 4 0 1 1 2 13 2 -
M. Xargay 33 2-4 1-3 1-2 5 7 0 0 4 6 10 -
C. Dupree 30 7-9 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 4 15 8 -
B. Griner 30 7-11 0-0 6-8 6 1 0 1 1 20 16 -
M. Currie 25 2-8 0-1 2-2 2 1 3 1 1 6 4 -
N. Quinn 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Mitchell 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Bass 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
C. George 10 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
A. Harden 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter