Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 32 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 29 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Carter | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 31 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Wright | 29 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Cash | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Swords | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Carson | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter