Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 34 | 3-16 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 26 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Quinn | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Xargay | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| M. Bass | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Harden | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 34 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| O. Sims | 33 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| C. Paris | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| V. Baugh | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 12 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hooper | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter