Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -12 (63-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 31 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Johnson | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Kizer | 25 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| M. Coleman | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Zellous | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Howard | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Lucas | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 33 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Currie | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Xargay | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Bass | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. George | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Quinn | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Harden | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Christon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter