Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 35 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| C. Little | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. Bentley | 29 | 4-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 29 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Bone | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| N. Greene | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Faris | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Gray | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 31 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 29 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Gray | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| D. Dantas | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Carter | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter