Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Goodrich | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| R. Tokashiki | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis | 22 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Bishop | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Gatling | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| N. Quinn | 22 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Bass | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Griner | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cayla George | 17 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Xargay | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Currie | 15 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Harden | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Bias | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter