Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 29 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| T. Catchings | 28 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| S. Johnson | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Briann January | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Zellous | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Kizer | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Lucas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 29 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T. Hill | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| L. Sanders | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| I. Latta | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Dolson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Lawson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| B. Hartley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter