Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 36 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Candace Parker | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 19 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Tolo | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| F. Abdi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| M. Moore | 29 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| A. Cruz | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| R. Brunson | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Jones | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Peters | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Liston | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Kelley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter