Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marta Xargay | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Bias | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Cayla George | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alex Harden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne * | 30 | 11-18 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Breland * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 27 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Clarissa Dos Santos | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tamera Young | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamierra Faulkner | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter