Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 34 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Cruz | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Fowles | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Peters | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 10 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Liston | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 21 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 20 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Xargay | 19 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| N. Quinn | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Harden | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. George | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter