Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +29 (106-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 27 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| D. Dantas | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| S. Carter | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| R. Gray | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Hayes | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Hodges | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. Coleman | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| T. Catchings | 24 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| B. January | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Kizer | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| E. Larkins | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Zellous | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Lucas | 19 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| N. Howard | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter