Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +24 (106-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Lucas | 20 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Briann January | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Johnson | 19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Kizer | 18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Catchings | 16 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 23 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 23 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| J. Faulkner | 20 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Young | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| E. de Souza | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Gemelos | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Breland | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter