Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +31 (82-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jia Perkins * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Samantha Logic | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bentley * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 23 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 21 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter