Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bone | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Bentley | 31 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Thomas | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Thomas | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Gray | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| E. Williams | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Faris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. January | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 27 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Larkins | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| T. Catchings | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| S. Zellous | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Coleman | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Lucas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Howard | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter