Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 33 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 25 | - |
| N. Quinn | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Cayla George | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Harden | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bass | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Bias | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 30 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 20 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Carter | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Hodges | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter