Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 34 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Dantas | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 21 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Gray | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Hodges | 19 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| S. Carter | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Liston | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Moore | 29 | 6-21 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Fowles | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Brunson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Peters | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Kelley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter