Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars +17 (102-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry-Morello | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 20 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Hodges | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Carter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 25 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| S. Logic | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Alexander | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Perkins | 19 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| V. Ayayi | 11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
* = starter