Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 31 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Dupree | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Quinn | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Harden | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. George | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Bias | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Xargay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Tolo | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Lavender | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Toliver | 31 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E. Phillips | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hamson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter