Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✗ (26.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars +18 (80-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January | 30 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Catchings | 25 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| E. Larkins | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Lucas | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Young-Malcolm | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Logic | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Adams | 20 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Alexander | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter