Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 31 | 5-20 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 29 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| E. de Souza | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Burdick | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Hodges | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Carter | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jantel Lavender | 39 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 38 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 29 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. Tolo | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Hamson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lister | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter