Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burdick | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 32 | 3-20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 30 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 24 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| E. de Souza | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Hodges | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Carter | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| B. Griner | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| N. Quinn | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Currie | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Xargay | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Harden | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cayla George | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter