Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Wright | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Swords | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| E. Carson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Cash | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 33 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 12-19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 31 | - |
| E. de Souza | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Carter | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Burdick | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| R. Hodges | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter