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2015-07-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“

Actual: Tulsa Shock +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nneka Ogwumike 36 7-12 0-0 8-8 13 3 0 1 1 22 26 -
T. Johnson 33 3-7 3-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 9 11 -
Jantel Lavender 32 7-19 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 1 4 14 6 -
Kristi Toliver 23 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 6 2 0 3 9 9 -
E. Phillips 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Hoover 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
M. Tolo 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 1 2 4 -
A. Dabovic 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
J. Lister 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hamson 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Christmas-Kelly 32 6-8 1-2 11-12 5 0 2 1 1 24 23 -
R. Williams 31 2-10 1-5 2-2 4 3 0 1 0 7 5 -
P. Pierson 29 3-15 0-2 1-1 4 2 1 0 0 7 -1 -
Odyssey Sims 24 4-12 1-3 5-5 5 6 2 0 2 14 13 -
C. Paris 22 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
V. Baugh 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
B. Kiesel 20 3-4 0-1 4-4 0 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
J. Hooper 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 6 -
T. Plaisance 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
Amanda Zahui B 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Hrynko 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter