Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +7 (70-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jantel Lavender * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marianna Tolo * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Temeka Johnson | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ana Dabovic | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrea Hoover | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jennifer Hamson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Samantha Logic | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter