Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (72-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alysha Clark * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 29 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Abby Bishop * | 17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Ramu Tokashiki | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Markeisha Gatling | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes * | 37 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 31 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cierra Burdick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter