Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Meesseman | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 27 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| S. Dolson | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Lawson | 25 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| I. Latta | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Hill | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Malott | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Hartley | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 32 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Catchings | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Coleman | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Larkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter